The Houston Texans will take on the New England Patriots at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at NRG Stadium. The Texans are 2-7 overall and 1-3 at home, while New England is 4-5 overall and 1-3 on the road. New England is favored by two points in the latest Texans vs. Patriots odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 49. Before entering any Patriots vs. Texans picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 18-9 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning over $800. The model also enters Week 11 on an incredible 114-74 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Texans vs. Patriots. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Patriots vs. Texans:
- Texans vs. Patriots spread: Texans +2
- Texans vs. Patriots over-under: 49 points
- Texans vs. Patriots money line: Houston +110, New England -130
What you need to know about the Texans
The Texans lost 10-7 to the Cleveland Browns this past Sunday. Houston has lost three of its past four games. The Texans finished with season lows of 153 yards passing and 243 total yards. Houston came into the game ranked 31st in the NFL with 87.6 yards rushing per game, and finished with 90. Duke Johnson had 54 yards rushing in his first start of the season with David Johnson out with a concussion.
Deshaun Watson completed 20 of 30 passes (66.7 pct.) for 163 yards and a TD vs. 0 INTs. He has two-plus TD passes in six of his past seven games. Watson passed for 234 yards and three TDs vs. 0 INTs for the last meeting, a 28-22 Houston win on Dec. 1, 2019. He is aiming for his fourth in row at home with two-plus TD passes. The Texans have lost six of the last seven meetings with the Patriots and eight of 10 all-time.
What you need to know about the Patriots
Meanwhile, New England overcame the Baltimore Ravens this past Sunday, 23-17. The Patriots have won two in a row after snapping a four-game losing streak. Damien Harris rushed for a career-high 121 yards. He has 100-plus rushing yards in two of his past three games. He is aiming for his fifth in row with 70-plus scrimmage yards. Jakobi Meyers had five catches for 59 yards and his first TD pass last week. He has 50-plus receiving yards in his past four games.
J.C. Jackson has an INT in five straight games, the longest active streak in the NFL. He leads the league with six INTs this season. Stephon Gilmore has an interception in two of his past three meetings with the Texans. Kyle Dugger had a career-high 12 tackles in Week 10. Bill Belichick has an 8-2 record vs. Houston.
How to make Patriots vs. Texans picks
The model has simulated Texans vs. Patriots 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning under on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.